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FinObservatory

US mortgage lending

Follow mortgage lending from the housing bust to the rate shock

Mortgage applications, originations and denials filed under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act, 2007 to 2024: the public Loan/Application Register, 311,597,371 loan-level records aggregated by year and state. The series carries the whole arc: the post-2007 housing bust, the 2020 refinancing wave, and the collapse to the 2023 trough when mortgage rates rose.

6,176,052
Loans originated
2024
$2.03T
Origination volume
2024
24.3%
Denial rate
2024, of decided applications
$235K
Median originated loan
2024

Data as of 2024 (HMDA public LAR, CFPB/FFIEC)

What this is. The public (privacy-modified) LAR, not the confidential full register: the Bureau edits the published files to protect applicant and borrower privacy. Years 2018 onward are the Snapshot tier, frozen about a month after the filing deadline; later One Year and Three Year revisions add late submissions, so recent-year counts can sit slightly below the final figures. Dollar volumes for 2007-2017 are converted from the source’s thousands-of-dollars unit. See the methodology for the exact action-code mappings in each schema era and the denial-rate definition.
How tight is US mortgage underwriting? →
An approval-odds index (2019 = 100) built from the year fixed effects of a logistic approval model on this same register: the odds that an observationally identical conventional first-lien application is approved, holding DTI bin, CLTV bin, income bucket, loan size, purpose, occupancy and state fixed. Published with the debt-to-income and loan-to-value mix of new lending, income multiples, and the denial reasons lenders report. Standards only: HMDA carries no loan performance, and no protected-class field enters the model.

Origination volume, 20072024

Total dollars of mortgages originated each year. Volume fell from $2.07T in 2007 through the housing bust, then the pandemic rate collapse drove it to the series peak of $4.76T in 2021, before the 2022 rate shock cut it to $1.78T in 2023, a 63% drop from the peak.

Hover for the value in each year

Source: HMDA public LAR (CFPB/FFIEC), 2007-2024 Sum of loan amounts on originated loans (action taken = 1). Legacy-era amounts converted from thousands of dollars. Methodology

Applications and originations

Applications are LAR records with action codes 1-5 (excluding purchased loans and standalone preapproval requests); originations are the subset that closed. In 2024, 10,754,906 applications produced 6,176,052 originations.

ApplicationsOriginations
Hover for the value in each year

Source: HMDA public LAR (CFPB/FFIEC), 2007-2024 Counts of loan-level records; the applications series excludes action codes 6 (purchased loans) and 7-8 (preapproval requests). Methodology

Denial rate

Denials as a share of applications that reached a credit decision: denied, originated, or approved but not accepted. Withdrawn and incomplete files are excluded from the denominator. The series high is 32.5% in 2007; the 2024 rate is 24.3%.

Hover for the value in each year

Source: HMDA public LAR (CFPB/FFIEC), 2007-2024 Denial rate = denials / (originations + denials + approved-not-accepted), identical definition in both schema eras. Methodology

Purchase vs refinance originations

Originated loans split by stated purpose. Refinancing peaked at 8,791,287 loans in 2020 (60% of that year’s originations), then collapsed when rates rose; in 2024 refinances were 1,465,890 against 3,517,224 purchase loans. The refinance series includes cash-out refinancings (reported separately only from 2018); home-improvement and other-purpose loans are charted separately.

Home purchaseRefinance (incl. cash-out)Improvement + other
Hover for the value in each year

Source: HMDA public LAR (CFPB/FFIEC), 2007-2024 Loan-purpose codes: purchase = 1 (both eras); refinance = 3 (2007-2017) and 31/32 (2018+); improvement = 2; other-purpose codes exist only from 2018. Methodology

Where the lending is: states in 2024

The fifteen largest state markets by origination volume in 2024, of the 54 states and territories with 2024 filings.

#StateOrigination volumeOriginationsMedian loanDenial rate
1California CA$288.36B509,170$415K24.9%
2Texas TX$172.33B491,716$275K26.0%
3Florida FL$170.37B474,589$275K29.1%
4New York NY$93.03B208,787$235K25.4%
5North Carolina NC$76.80B256,370$235K24.0%
6Georgia GA$71.15B227,610$255K26.9%
7Washington WA$67.51B153,279$355K21.3%
8Virginia VA$64.47B182,923$265K22.1%
9New Jersey NJ$60.55B156,392$305K26.1%
10Colorado CO$59.44B143,013$345K21.6%
11Arizona AZ$58.93B167,105$295K22.2%
12Illinois IL$55.77B203,770$195K23.3%
13Pennsylvania PA$55.67B245,926$165K24.2%
14Ohio OH$53.76B246,113$155K23.5%
15Massachusetts MA$51.56B119,508$325K22.3%

All others: Tennessee · Michigan · Maryland · South Carolina · Indiana · Wisconsin · Missouri · Minnesota · Utah · Oregon · Nevada · Alabama · Connecticut · Kentucky · Oklahoma · Idaho · Louisiana · Kansas · Arkansas · Iowa · New Hampshire · Mississippi · Hawaii · New Mexico · Nebraska · Maine · Rhode Island · Delaware · Montana · District of Columbia · West Virginia · South Dakota · Alaska · Vermont · North Dakota · Wyoming · Puerto Rico · Guam · US Virgin Islands

Source: HMDA public LAR (CFPB/FFIEC), 2007-2024 Ranked by 2024 origination volume. Records with no state assigned are counted in the national figures but carry no state page. Methodology

See the full methodology for what HMDA is, the public-LAR privacy modifications, the two schema eras and their exact code mappings, and the snapshot-revision caveat.