Data, research and analysis
Finance. Money. Banking.
Primary-source data and models on banks, financial crises and financial conditions, where every figure is dated and sourced.
Conditions now
FinObservatory FCI (composite)
-0.78
loose (27th percentile since 1991)
FinObservatory composite of 8 indicators
1991Through 2026Q2
10y-2y Treasury slope
+0.44 pp
positive
FRED T10Y2Y
1976Through Oct 9, 2026
Baa-10y Treasury spread
+1.48 pp
tight (4th percentile since 1986)
FRED DBAA minus DGS10 (BAA10Y)
1986Through Oct 8, 2026
Financial crisis history
Financial crises across the historical recordexplore the chronology
4,798 banking, currency and sovereign-debt crisis events across 165 economies, 1800–2025, by decade.
BankingCurrencySovereign debt
Hover, tap or focus a decade to see crisis counts.
The current decade is partial because the five source chronologies end in different years.
Every figure is dated and sourced. Models are published with the rival that could beat them.