FinObservatory

Housing cycles / MEX

Mexico

Real residential property prices, BIS index, 2005 to 2026-Q1. The index is rebased to 2010 = 100 for Mexico alone, so its level says nothing next to another country’s. Growth and drawdown are comparable across countries; the level is not.

+4.4%
Real prices, year on year
2026-Q1; nominal +8.7%
at peak
Off its own real peak
peak 2026-Q1
-3.7%
Deepest real drawdown
trough 2010-Q1, within the observed sample
2005
Index starts
85 quarters to 2026-Q1

Real house price index, annual

Annual means of the quarterly real index. A year is plotted only if all four of its quarters are present, so a partial year is dropped rather than averaged over whatever is present.

801001201402006200820102012201420162018202020222024Real index, 2010 = 100 (Mexico base)

Source: BIS residential property prices (selected series) Latest real quarter 2026-Q1 = 154.5; highest observed real quarter 2026-Q1 = 154.5. Methodology

Banking crises

The annual real index has no complete year at one or both ends of the required window for any of these crises, so none of them can be measured. They are listed anyway, with the missing year named.

CrisisRun-up t-5 to tTrough vs tYears to trough
1981 to 1985not measurable: no complete index year at 1976 or at 1986 (the annual index runs 2005 to 2025)
1994 to 1996not measurable: no complete index year at 1989 or at 1999 (the annual index runs 2005 to 2025)

Source: BIS residential property prices (selected series) | Laeven and Valencia, Systemic Banking Crises Database (2025 update) 2 of the 2 crises on record for Mexico cannot be measured against this price index. They are listed above rather than dropped. Methodology

Limits of this page. The drawdown figures are conditional on the sample: Mexico’s index begins in 2005, so a peak before then is invisible and the deepest drawdown is the deepest observedone. The crisis dating is Laeven-Valencia’s, not this repo’s. Nothing here is a causal claim. See the methodology for the full list.