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FinObservatory

Sovereign haircuts / FIN

Finland

One concluded restructuring, settled in 1945. It cost creditors 3.7% of the present value of their claim, 5 years after the default that began in 1940.

1
Restructurings
3.7%
Median present-value haircut
3.7%
Worst present-value haircut
1 of 1
Cut face value by zero
$27M
Debt treated (2020 $)

Every restructuring

Two measures of the same deals, never combined. The present-value haircut discounts what creditors got against what they were owed; the face-value reduction counts only principal written off.

0204060801001945Year the restructuring concluded
Present-value haircutFace-value reduction
DefaultSettledYears to settlePresent-value haircutFace-value reductionDebt treated (2020 $)Source
1940194553.7%0.0%$27MMeyer, Reinhart and Trebesch (2022)

Source: Meyer, Reinhart & Trebesch (2022), Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo | Cruces & Trebesch (2013), Sovereign Defaults: The Price of Haircuts | Asonuma & Trebesch (2016) Debt treated is the amount restructured, deflated to constant 2020 US dollars in the source file. A negative haircut means the new instruments were worth more than the old claim. Methodology

Bond prices

1 of 1 Finland restructuring episode has Waterloo prices during the restructuring interval

The haircut file dates episodes by year. Waterloo matches them by country code and plots a padded window from one year before default through one year after settlement.
The public Waterloo bond panel in this repo runs from Jan 1, 1822 to Dec 1, 1980. This selector uses price only, never pbid or pask, and shows one line per bond from one year before default to one year after settlement. The author README defines price as “bond price in GBP and USD”; it does not document normalization to face value. Across all 329 haircut episodes, 111 have no Waterloo country-code match and 177 start after Dec 1, 1980. Those two counts overlap.
Selected episode: default 1940, settled 1945, case 138, spell FIN_1940-1945. Window: Jan 1, 1939 to Dec 31, 1946.
USD bond prices
Independent USD y-axis; values are not scaled against another currency.
05010015019391941194319451946External SF Gold 6% Loan of 1923, due 1945 (USD): 66 monthly observations from Jan 1, 1939 to Aug 1, 1945External SF Gold 6% Loan of 1923, due 1945 (USD), Mar 1, 1943: 95Observation monthBond price (USD)
Bond legend (USD)
External SF Gold 6% Loan of 1923, due 1945 (USD)
66 monthly observations across 1 bond. 55 of those observations fall inside the shaded restructuring interval. Earliest point in this window: Jan 1, 1939. Latest: Aug 1, 1945. One line equals one bond; no cross-bond average is computed.
BondCurrencyISINObs.FirstLast
External SF Gold 6% Loan of 1923, due 1945USDnot recorded66Jan 1, 1939Aug 1, 1945
Each option includes its case id and default-spell id. The chart includes every priced bond for that country in the window, so it does not identify bonds belonging to the selected restructuring. The one-year padding is a display window, one year either side; an editorial choice rather than a source-defined threshold. It uses waterloo_bonds.price only; pbid and pask are not averaged into it. The author README defines price as “bond price in GBP and USD” and does not document face-value normalization. GBP and USD observations use separate labelled panels and y-axes. Of the 329 episodes in the haircut file, 111 have no Waterloo country-code match and 177 start after 1980-12-01; these counts overlap. Later episodes show an absence message rather than an implied zero.

Source: Meyer, Reinhart & Trebesch, Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo (bond-price panel) | Harvard Dataverse, Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo Methodology

Default spells

SpellFromToYearsRestructurings
FIN_1940-19451940194561

Source: Meyer, Reinhart & Trebesch (2022), Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo | Cruces & Trebesch (2013), Sovereign Defaults: The Price of Haircuts | Asonuma & Trebesch (2016) Duration counts both endpoints. The spells table also carries a cumulative-haircut column; it is not published here because it does not reconcile with the per-episode haircuts, see the methodology. Methodology

Debt still in default

The Bank of Canada-Bank of England default database records no debt in default for Finland in its latest year.

Source: Bank of Canada-Bank of England Sovereign Default Database (CRAG) Bank of Canada terms (attribution). Includes domestic arrears, so it is not comparable with the debt-treated column above. Methodology

Methodology, the measures, and what this data cannot tell you