Crisis atlas / PRT / 1981–1985

Portugal, 1981–1985

One crisis episode: distinct crisis years merged across gaps of up to two non-crisis years. Types, source agreement, and macro context are drawn from the union of five primary chronologies.

CurrencyBanking

Crisis years in this episode

Every distinct (year, type) event inside the 1981–1985 window, with the chronologies flagging it and the count of agreeing sources. Start-year sources (GMD, JST) mark only the first year, so agreement falls in the continuation years.

1981
Currencyrr1 source
1982
Currencyrr1 source
1983
Bankingesrb1 source
Currencygmd, laeven_valencia, rr3 sources
1984
Bankingesrb1 source
Currencyrr1 source
1985
Bankingesrb1 source

Source: Global Macro Database 2026_06 (Müller, Xu, Lehbib & Chen 2025) | Jordà-Schularick-Taylor Macrohistory R6 | Laeven & Valencia (2020, 2026) | Reinhart-Rogoff via HBS BFFS | ECB/ESRB Financial Crises Database Methodology

Laeven-Valencia banking-crisis detail

This banking episode is not in the Laeven-Valencia systemic banking crises database, which covers systemic banking crises from 1970. The crisis is dated here by other chronologies (GMD, JST, Reinhart-Rogoff, or ESRB), none of which report a fiscal cost or output loss.

Macro context, 1974–1992

Seven years either side of the episode. Each panel has its own scale; the crisis window is shaded. Only indicators with data for Portugal in this window are shown. Bank credit growth (year over year in total loans) is available for the 18 Jordà-Schularick-Taylor advanced economies.

Inflation (% y/y)

Real GDP growth (% y/y)

Policy rate (%)

Govt debt (% of GDP)

Unemployment (%)

Current account (% of GDP)

Bank credit growth (% y/y)

Source: Global Macro Database 2026_06 (Müller, Xu, Lehbib & Chen 2025) | Jordà-Schularick-Taylor Macrohistory R6 (credit) Real GDP growth is derived as the year-over-year change in real GDP; current account and government debt are percent of GDP; policy rate is the central-bank rate; bank credit growth is the year-over-year change in JST total loans. Methodology

How each source dates this episode

The chronologies disagree on start years and durations. This table is generated from the event rows, not curated: it lists, per crisis type, which source flags which years inside the window.

Currency

Reinhart-Rogoff1981, 1982, 1983, 1984
Global Macro Database1983
Laeven-Valencia1983

Banking

ECB/ESRB1983, 1984, 1985

Policy-response case studies (external)

For qualitative accounts of how authorities intervened in systemic crises, see the Yale Program on Financial Stability New Bagehot Project, a library of financial-crisis intervention case studies. It is a separate qualitative resource; no specific case is asserted to match this episode.