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FinObservatory

Sovereign haircuts / COL

Colombia

6 concluded restructurings, between 1845 and 1941. The earliest default they settle began in 1826. The worst cost creditors 96.6% of the present value of their claim, in 1845. The longest gap between a default and its settlement was 19 years.

6
Restructurings
73.1%
Median present-value haircut
96.6%
Worst present-value haircut
3 of 6
Cut face value by zero
$4.30B
Debt treated (2020 $)

Every restructuring

Two measures of the same deals, never combined. The present-value haircut discounts what creditors got against what they were owed; the face-value reduction counts only principal written off.

020406080100184518611872189619051941Year the restructuring concluded
Present-value haircutFace-value reduction
DefaultSettledYears to settlePresent-value haircutFace-value reductionDebt treated (2020 $)Source
182618451996.6%0.0%$1.01BMeyer, Reinhart and Trebesch (2022)
18531861866.8%0.0%$764MMeyer, Reinhart and Trebesch (2022)
18721872079.3%69.6%$708MMeyer, Reinhart and Trebesch (2022)
188018961686.9%50.4%$680MMeyer, Reinhart and Trebesch (2022)
1900190559.7%0.0%$317MMeyer, Reinhart and Trebesch (2022)
193119411065.3%11.6%$819MMeyer, Reinhart and Trebesch (2022)

Source: Meyer, Reinhart & Trebesch (2022), Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo | Cruces & Trebesch (2013), Sovereign Defaults: The Price of Haircuts | Asonuma & Trebesch (2016) Debt treated is the amount restructured, deflated to constant 2020 US dollars in the source file. A negative haircut means the new instruments were worth more than the old claim. Methodology

Bond prices

6 of 6 Colombia restructuring episodes have Waterloo prices during the restructuring interval

The haircut file dates episodes by year. Waterloo matches them by country code and plots a padded window from one year before default through one year after settlement.
The public Waterloo bond panel in this repo runs from Jan 1, 1822 to Dec 1, 1980. This selector uses price only, never pbid or pask, and shows one line per bond from one year before default to one year after settlement. The author README defines price as “bond price in GBP and USD”; it does not document normalization to face value. Across all 329 haircut episodes, 111 have no Waterloo country-code match and 177 start after Dec 1, 1980. Those two counts overlap.
Selected episode: default 1931, settled 1941, case 23, spell COL_1931-1941. Window: Jan 1, 1930 to Dec 31, 1942.
GBP bond prices
Independent GBP y-axis; values are not scaled against another currency.
05010019301932193419361938194019426% Bonds of 1913, due 1947 (GBP): 117 monthly observations from Jan 1, 1930 to Sep 1, 1939Observation monthBond price (GBP)
Bond legend (GBP)
6% Bonds of 1913, due 1947 (GBP)
USD bond prices
Independent USD y-axis; values are not scaled against another currency.
0501001930193219341936193819401942External Gold 6% of 1927, due 1961 (USD): 156 monthly observations from Jan 1, 1930 to Dec 1, 1942External Gold 6% of 1928, due 1961 (USD): 155 monthly observations from Jan 1, 1930 to Dec 1, 1942External SF 3% of 1940, due 1970 (USD): 18 monthly observations from Jul 1, 1941 to Dec 1, 1942Observation monthBond price (USD)
Bond legend (USD)
External Gold 6% of 1927, due 1961 (USD)
External Gold 6% of 1928, due 1961 (USD)
External SF 3% of 1940, due 1970 (USD)
446 monthly observations across 4 bonds. 374 of those observations fall inside the shaded restructuring interval. Earliest point in this window: Jan 1, 1930. Latest: Dec 1, 1942. One line equals one bond; no cross-bond average is computed.
BondCurrencyISINObs.FirstLast
6% Bonds of 1913, due 1947GBPnot recorded117Jan 1, 1930Sep 1, 1939
External Gold 6% of 1927, due 1961USDnot recorded156Jan 1, 1930Dec 1, 1942
External Gold 6% of 1928, due 1961USDnot recorded155Jan 1, 1930Dec 1, 1942
External SF 3% of 1940, due 1970USDnot recorded18Jul 1, 1941Dec 1, 1942
Each option includes its case id and default-spell id. The chart includes every priced bond for that country in the window, so it does not identify bonds belonging to the selected restructuring. The one-year padding is a display window, one year either side; an editorial choice rather than a source-defined threshold. It uses waterloo_bonds.price only; pbid and pask are not averaged into it. The author README defines price as “bond price in GBP and USD” and does not document face-value normalization. GBP and USD observations use separate labelled panels and y-axes. Of the 329 episodes in the haircut file, 111 have no Waterloo country-code match and 177 start after 1980-12-01; these counts overlap. Later episodes show an absence message rather than an implied zero.

Source: Meyer, Reinhart & Trebesch, Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo (bond-price panel) | Harvard Dataverse, Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo Methodology

Default spells

SpellFromToYearsRestructurings
COL_1826-184518261845201
COL_1853-18611853186191
COL_1872-18721872187211
COL_1880-189618801896171
COL_1900-19051900190561
COL_1931-194119311941111

Source: Meyer, Reinhart & Trebesch (2022), Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo | Cruces & Trebesch (2013), Sovereign Defaults: The Price of Haircuts | Asonuma & Trebesch (2016) Duration counts both endpoints. The spells table also carries a cumulative-haircut column; it is not published here because it does not reconcile with the per-episode haircuts, see the methodology. Methodology

Debt still in default

The Bank of Canada-Bank of England default database records no debt in default for Colombia in its latest year.

Source: Bank of Canada-Bank of England Sovereign Default Database (CRAG) Bank of Canada terms (attribution). Includes domestic arrears, so it is not comparable with the debt-treated column above. Methodology

Methodology, the measures, and what this data cannot tell you