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FinObservatory

Sovereign haircuts / DOM

Dominican Republic

8 concluded restructurings, between 1872 and 2005. The earliest default they settle began in 1872. The worst cost creditors 100.0% of the present value of their claim, in 1872. The longest gap between a default and its settlement was 9 years.

8
Restructurings
42.2%
Median present-value haircut
100.0%
Worst present-value haircut
5 of 8
Cut face value by zero
$6.27B
Debt treated (2020 $)

Every restructuring

Two measures of the same deals, never combined. The present-value haircut discounts what creditors got against what they were owed; the face-value reduction counts only principal written off.

02040608010018721893189719081934198619942005Year the restructuring concluded
Present-value haircutFace-value reduction
DefaultSettledYears to settlePresent-value haircutFace-value reductionDebt treated (2020 $)Source
18721872repudiated0100.0%100.0%$163MMeyer, Reinhart and Trebesch (2022)
18921893154.0%0.0%$186MMeyer, Reinhart and Trebesch (2022)
18961897132.4%0.0%$367MMeyer, Reinhart and Trebesch (2022)
18991908932.4%50.0%$459MMeyer, Reinhart and Trebesch (2022)
19311934334.5%0.0%$250MMeyer, Reinhart and Trebesch (2022)
19821986449.9%0.0%$1.67BCruces and Trebesch (2013)
19871994750.5%39.7%$1.75BCruces and Trebesch (2013)
2004200514.7%0.0%$1.42BCruces and Trebesch (2013)

Source: Meyer, Reinhart & Trebesch (2022), Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo | Cruces & Trebesch (2013), Sovereign Defaults: The Price of Haircuts | Asonuma & Trebesch (2016) Debt treated is the amount restructured, deflated to constant 2020 US dollars in the source file. A negative haircut means the new instruments were worth more than the old claim. Methodology

Bond prices

2 of 8 Dominican Republic restructuring episodes have Waterloo prices during the restructuring interval

The haircut file dates episodes by year. Waterloo matches them by country code and plots a padded window from one year before default through one year after settlement.
The public Waterloo bond panel in this repo runs from Jan 1, 1822 to Dec 1, 1980. This selector uses price only, never pbid or pask, and shows one line per bond from one year before default to one year after settlement. The author README defines price as “bond price in GBP and USD”; it does not document normalization to face value. Across all 329 haircut episodes, 111 have no Waterloo country-code match and 177 start after Dec 1, 1980. Those two counts overlap. 3 of 8 episodes start after the panel ends. 2 episodes overlap the panel but still have no non-null price observations in that window. 1 episode has prices only in the padded part of the window, outside the restructuring interval.
Selected episode: default 1931, settled 1934, case 112, spell DOM_1931-1934. Window: Jan 1, 1930 to Dec 31, 1935.
USD bond prices
Independent USD y-axis; values are not scaled against another currency.
0501001501930193119321933193419355.5% Customs Administration bonds of 1922, due 1942 (1st series) (USD): 72 monthly observations from Jan 1, 1930 to Dec 1, 19355.5% Customs Administration SF Gold of 1926, due 1940 (1st series) (USD): 72 monthly observations from Jan 1, 1930 to Dec 1, 19355.5% Customs Administration SF Gold of 1926, due 1940 (2nd series) (USD): 71 monthly observations from Jan 1, 1930 to Dec 1, 1935Observation monthBond price (USD)
Bond legend (USD)
5.5% Customs Administration bonds of 1922, due 1942 (1st series) (USD)
5.5% Customs Administration SF Gold of 1926, due 1940 (1st series) (USD)
5.5% Customs Administration SF Gold of 1926, due 1940 (2nd series) (USD)
215 monthly observations across 3 bonds. 143 of those observations fall inside the shaded restructuring interval. Earliest point in this window: Jan 1, 1930. Latest: Dec 1, 1935. One line equals one bond; no cross-bond average is computed.
BondCurrencyISINObs.FirstLast
5.5% Customs Administration bonds of 1922, due 1942 (1st series)USDnot recorded72Jan 1, 1930Dec 1, 1935
5.5% Customs Administration SF Gold of 1926, due 1940 (1st series)USDnot recorded72Jan 1, 1930Dec 1, 1935
5.5% Customs Administration SF Gold of 1926, due 1940 (2nd series)USDnot recorded71Jan 1, 1930Dec 1, 1935
Each option includes its case id and default-spell id. The chart includes every priced bond for that country in the window, so it does not identify bonds belonging to the selected restructuring. The one-year padding is a display window, one year either side; an editorial choice rather than a source-defined threshold. It uses waterloo_bonds.price only; pbid and pask are not averaged into it. The author README defines price as “bond price in GBP and USD” and does not document face-value normalization. GBP and USD observations use separate labelled panels and y-axes. Of the 329 episodes in the haircut file, 111 have no Waterloo country-code match and 177 start after 1980-12-01; these counts overlap. Later episodes show an absence message rather than an implied zero.

Source: Meyer, Reinhart & Trebesch, Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo (bond-price panel) | Harvard Dataverse, Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo Methodology

Default spells

SpellFromToYearsRestructurings
DOM_1872-18721872187211
DOM_1892-18931892189321
DOM_1896-190818961908132
DOM_1931-19341931193441
DOM_1982-199419821994132
DOM_2004-20052004200521

Source: Meyer, Reinhart & Trebesch (2022), Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo | Cruces & Trebesch (2013), Sovereign Defaults: The Price of Haircuts | Asonuma & Trebesch (2016) Duration counts both endpoints. The spells table also carries a cumulative-haircut column; it is not published here because it does not reconcile with the per-episode haircuts, see the methodology. Methodology

The Cruces-Trebesch record: a third measure and the discount rate

The Cruces-Trebesch file carries 4 restructurings here, and adds the market haircut (the new instruments against the face value of the old claim, undiscounted) and the exit yield used to do the discounting. The deal label is the file’s own and is finer than the country: it names the instrument class the deal covered. The two files were assembled separately, so a deal here need not line up one-to-one with a row above.

DealDatePresent valueMarketFace valueExit yieldStructureData quality
Dom. Rep.1986-02-0149.9%49.9%0.0%24.8%-2 / 5
Dom. Rep.1994-08-0150.5%55.8%39.7%12.8%Brady deal3 / 5
Dom. Rep. (Bond debt)2005-05-014.7%4.1%0.0%9.5%bond exchange5 / 5
Dom. Rep (Bank debt)2005-10-0111.3%15.8%0.0%9.7%-2 / 5

Source: Cruces & Trebesch, haircut dataset (2014 update) Data quality is the file's own 1-to-5 index of how well the deal terms are documented. Methodology

Debt still in default

$33.0M across 1 creditor class in 2024. A haircut can only be measured once a restructuring concludes, so any of this that is still being negotiated is by construction absent from the tables above.

Creditor classIn default, 2024
Other official creditors$33.0M

Source: Bank of Canada-Bank of England Sovereign Default Database (CRAG) Bank of Canada terms (attribution). Includes domestic arrears, so it is not comparable with the debt-treated column above. Methodology

Methodology, the measures, and what this data cannot tell you