FinObservatory

Housing cycles / CYP

Cyprus

Real residential property prices, BIS index, 2002 to 2025-Q4. The index is rebased to 2010 = 100 for Cyprus alone, so its level says nothing next to another country’s. Growth and drawdown are comparable across countries; the level is not.

+7.6%
Real prices, year on year
2025-Q4; nominal +7.1%
-20.6%
Off its own real peak
peak 2008-Q3
-33.9%
Deepest real drawdown
trough 2015-Q4, within the observed sample
2002
Index starts
96 quarters to 2025-Q4

Real house price index, annual

Annual means of the quarterly real index. A year is plotted only if all four of its quarters are present, so a partial year is dropped rather than averaged over whatever is present. The shaded band is the one Laeven-Valencia banking crisis measurable against this index, first year to last year.

40608010020052010201520202025Real index, 2010 = 100 (Cyprus base)

Source: BIS residential property prices (selected series) | Laeven and Valencia, Systemic Banking Crises Database (2025 update) Latest real quarter 2025-Q4 = 87.7; highest observed real quarter 2008-Q3 = 110.4. Methodology

Banking crises

Run-up is the real index in the crisis year against five years earlier. Trough is the lowest of the crisis year and the five years after it, against the crisis year itself, so 0.0% means real prices never closed a year below the crisis-year level.

CrisisRun-up t-5 to tTrough vs tYears to trough
2011 to 2015+16.1%-21.6%4

Source: BIS residential property prices (selected series) | Laeven and Valencia, Systemic Banking Crises Database (2025 update) Methodology

Limits of this page. The drawdown figures are conditional on the sample: Cyprus’s index begins in 2002, so a peak before then is invisible and the deepest drawdown is the deepest observedone. The crisis dating is Laeven-Valencia’s, not this repo’s. Nothing here is a causal claim. See the methodology for the full list.