FinObservatory

Housing cycles / THA

Thailand

Real residential property prices, BIS index, 1991 to 2026-Q1. The index is rebased to 2010 = 100 for Thailand alone, so its level says nothing next to another country’s. Growth and drawdown are comparable across countries; the level is not.

+1.9%
Real prices, year on year
2026-Q1; nominal +1.3%
at peak
Off its own real peak
peak 2026-Q1
-35.6%
Deepest real drawdown
trough 1999-Q2, within the observed sample
1991
Index starts
141 quarters to 2026-Q1

Real house price index, annual

Annual means of the quarterly real index. A year is plotted only if all four of its quarters are present, so a partial year is dropped rather than averaged over whatever is present. The shaded band is the one Laeven-Valencia banking crisis measurable against this index, first year to last year.

801001201401995200020052010201520202025Real index, 2010 = 100 (Thailand base)

Source: BIS residential property prices (selected series) | Laeven and Valencia, Systemic Banking Crises Database (2025 update) Latest real quarter 2026-Q1 = 150.8; highest observed real quarter 2026-Q1 = 150.8. Methodology

Banking crises

Run-up is the real index in the crisis year against five years earlier. Trough is the lowest of the crisis year and the five years after it, against the crisis year itself, so 0.0% means real prices never closed a year below the crisis-year level.

CrisisRun-up t-5 to tTrough vs tYears to trough
1983not measurable: no complete index year at 1978 or at 1988 (the annual index runs 1991 to 2025)
1997 to 2000-1.2%-18.7%4

Source: BIS residential property prices (selected series) | Laeven and Valencia, Systemic Banking Crises Database (2025 update) 1 of the 2 crises on record for Thailand cannot be measured against this price index. It is listed above rather than dropped. Methodology

Limits of this page. The drawdown figures are conditional on the sample: Thailand’s index begins in 1991, so a peak before then is invisible and the deepest drawdown is the deepest observedone. The crisis dating is Laeven-Valencia’s, not this repo’s. Nothing here is a causal claim. See the methodology for the full list.