FinObservatory

Sovereign debt / CIV

Ivory Coast

Latest government debt 59.3% of GDP (2024, Central govt (IMF GDD)). 1 sovereign-debt crisis episode on record, 1983 to 2012.

Full crisis history (banking, currency, sovereign) →

Ivory Coast’s latest debt of 59.3% is below the 80.7% median at which sovereign crises of the 2000+ era began. This is a comparison, not a prediction. A country can default well below these medians (Argentina defaulted in 2001 at 48.0% of GDP) or carry the world’s highest ratio without defaulting (Japan, above 230%). Default risk turns on debt composition, fiscal capacity, credit history and market access, not the level alone.

Official risk classification

Current classification
Category 5 of 7
0 = exempt, 1 = lowest risk, 7 = highest · as of Jun 26, 2026
EffectiveClassification
Oct 22, 2021Category 5 of 7current
Oct 30, 2015Category 6 of 7
Jan 22, 1999Category 7 of 7
Jan 1, 1999Category 6 of 7

The CRC scores the likelihood a country services its external debt on an eight-step scale, from 0 to 7, and sets the minimum premiums the OECD Arrangement participants charge on officially supported export credit. Categories 1 to 7 are the risk ladder (1 lowest, 7 highest). Category 0, and the blank status the OECD has used for these countries since 2013, mark high-income OECD and high-income euro-area economies that are exempt because their credit is priced on market terms. An exempt status is unclassified by design, not a data gap and not a zero-risk rating.

Source: OECD, Country Risk Classifications of the Participants to the Arrangement on Officially Supported Export Credits OECD CRC, free reuse with attribution. Category is an ordinal 0-7 risk step, not a probability; 0 and blank denote exemption. Methodology

Debt trajectory, 1980 onward

Debt to GDP by perimeter, observed years only (no IMF forecast years). Central-government debt is mechanically below general government (it excludes state, local and social-security debt). Shaded bands are sovereign-debt crisis years.

Central government (GDD)General government (WEO)Private non-financial (GDD)
05010015020019601980200020202024WEO grossCentralPrivate

Source: IMF Global Debt Database (Mbaye, Moreno-Badia & Chae, IMF WP/18/111) | IMF World Economic Outlook Debt is % of GDP; crisis-year shading from the sovereign-debt chronologies. Methodology

Debt profile

Latest by perimeter
Central government (IMF GDD)
59.3% (2024)
General gov gross (IMF WEO, April 2026 edition)
59.5% (2024)
Private non-financial (IMF GDD)
22.4% (2024)
History
Peak debt
173.9% (1994)
Sovereign crises
1
Last crisis
2012
Vs 2000+ crisis-start median
-21.4

External debt (World Bank IDS)

External debt owed to non-residents, from the World Bank’s International Debt Statistics, which covers low- and middle-income economies only (Ivory Coast is classified Lower middle income). Dollar figures are current US dollars; ratio figures are percentages, as labelled. This is external debt in USD, a different measure from the government debt-to-GDP ratios above; do not compare the two directly.

$40.56B
External debt stocks, total (DOD, current US$) (2024)
48.8%
External debt stocks (% of GNI) (2024)
$5.39B
Debt service on external debt, total (TDS, current US$) (2024)
24.7%
Total debt service (% of exports of goods, services and primary income) (2024)
10.6%
Short-term debt (% of total external debt) (2024)
20.3%
Multilateral debt (% of total external debt) (2024)
44.9%
Total reserves (% of total external debt) (2016)
YearTotal external debt% of GNIDebt service
2015$11.39B25.4%$809.3M
2016$11.45B24.2%$1.57B
2017$13.45B26.4%$2.25B
2018$16.19B28.5%$1.65B
2019$19.83B33.8%$3.00B
2020$25.11B41.0%$2.45B
2021$29.77B42.2%$1.73B
2022$31.62B46.1%$2.31B
2023$36.36B47.5%$3.63B
2024$40.56B48.8%$5.39B

Source: World Bank International Debt Statistics (IDS) World Bank IDS, CC BY 4.0. Units: current US dollars (.CD series) and percent (.ZS series); repayment-schedule years beyond 2024 excluded. Methodology

Debt in default (BoC-BoE CRAG)

Stock of Ivory Coast’s government debt in default in 2023, from the Bank of Canada–Bank of England Sovereign Default Database, broken down by creditor class. The external total is $2.0M (current US dollars, excluding domestic arrears, matching the database’s published headline). A further $1.03B of domestic (fiscal) arrears is tracked separately and is not included in that total.

Creditor class (2023)Amount in default
China (official)$2.0M
Total external$2.0M

In default (external) for 49 distinct years between 1974 and 2023. Peak external default stock: $9.10B.

Source: BoC-BoE Sovereign Default Database 2025 (Beers, Ndukwe & Berry, Bank of Canada SAN 2025-24) BoC-BoE Sovereign Default Database, Bank of Canada terms (free use with attribution). Units: current US dollars; total excludes domestic arrears. Methodology

Sovereign-debt crisis history

Each episode with the government debt-to-GDP ratio in its start year, where a reading exists. Episode dates use the same merge as the crisis atlas (consecutive crisis years bridged across gaps of up to two years).

  • 1983–20121980–1999
    Debt at start: 61.4% (Central govt (IMF GDD))episode →

Source: Global Macro Database 2026_06 (Müller, Xu, Lehbib & Chen 2025) | Reinhart-Rogoff via HBS BFFS | Laeven & Valencia (2020) Methodology

Restructuring history and creditor losses

Every recorded Ivory Coast sovereign-debt restructuring and the creditor loss (“haircut”) it imposed. The preferred haircut is the present-value measure (Sturzenegger–Zettelmeyer methodology); the face-value column is the headline principal write-down. Amounts restructured are in current US dollars. A crisis link appears where the restructuring year falls inside one of the sovereign-debt crisis episodes above.

YearHaircut (NPV)Face valueDebt restructuredSource
1998 crisis →62.8%60.2%$6.46BCruces and Trebesch (2013)
2010 crisis →55.2%20.0%$2.94BCruces and Trebesch (2013)
2012 crisis →6.1%3.8%$2.71BCruces and Trebesch (2013)

Source: Cruces & Trebesch (2013), AEJ: Macro; updated in Graf von Luckner, Meyer, Reinhart & Trebesch (2024), IMF Economic Review Kiel Institute / Trebesch sovereign-haircut database, research use with citation. Haircut and face-value figures are percentages; debt restructured is current US dollars. Methodology

Reading this profile

  • Debt levels mix perimeters. The headline and debt-at-start figures fall back through IMF general government, then central government, then WEO gross debt, then (before 1980) the GMD historical series. Central-government readings understate the general-government ratio.
  • Crisis flags end in 2016 (Reinhart-Rogoff) and 2017 (GMD, Laeven-Valencia), while debt runs to 2024. “Years since last crisis” and the absence of recent crises reflect where the sources stop, not a guarantee of calm.
  • Debt level is a weak predictor of default on its own; see the methodology for the debt-intolerance evidence and the full construction.