FinObservatory

Sovereign debt / IRQ

Iraq

Latest government debt 42.9% of GDP (2024, Central govt (IMF GDD)). No sovereign-debt crisis in the chronologies.

Iraq’s latest debt of 42.9% is below the 80.7% median at which sovereign crises of the 2000+ era began. This is a comparison, not a prediction. A country can default well below these medians (Argentina defaulted in 2001 at 48.0% of GDP) or carry the world’s highest ratio without defaulting (Japan, above 230%). Default risk turns on debt composition, fiscal capacity, credit history and market access, not the level alone.

Official risk classification

Current classification
Category 7 of 7
0 = exempt, 1 = lowest risk, 7 = highest · as of Jun 26, 2026
EffectiveClassification
Jan 1, 1999Category 7 of 7current

The CRC scores the likelihood a country services its external debt on an eight-step scale, from 0 to 7, and sets the minimum premiums the OECD Arrangement participants charge on officially supported export credit. Categories 1 to 7 are the risk ladder (1 lowest, 7 highest). Category 0, and the blank status the OECD has used for these countries since 2013, mark high-income OECD and high-income euro-area economies that are exempt because their credit is priced on market terms. An exempt status is unclassified by design, not a data gap and not a zero-risk rating.

Source: OECD, Country Risk Classifications of the Participants to the Arrangement on Officially Supported Export Credits OECD CRC, free reuse with attribution. Category is an ordinal 0-7 risk step, not a probability; 0 and blank denote exemption. Methodology

Debt trajectory, 1980 onward

Debt to GDP by perimeter, observed years only (no IMF forecast years). Central-government debt is mechanically below general government (it excludes state, local and social-security debt). No sovereign-debt crisis years fall in this window.

Central government (GDD)General government (WEO)Private non-financial (GDD)
0100200300400200420052010201520202024WEO grossCentralPrivate

Source: IMF Global Debt Database (Mbaye, Moreno-Badia & Chae, IMF WP/18/111) | IMF World Economic Outlook Debt is % of GDP; crisis-year shading from the sovereign-debt chronologies. Methodology

Debt profile

Latest by perimeter
Central government (IMF GDD)
42.9% (2024)
General gov gross (IMF WEO, April 2026 edition)
45.2% (2024)
Private non-financial (IMF GDD)
12.3% (2024)
History
Peak debt
344.3% (2004)
Sovereign crises
0
Vs 2000+ crisis-start median
-37.8

External debt (World Bank IDS)

External debt owed to non-residents, from the World Bank’s International Debt Statistics, which covers low- and middle-income economies only (Iraq is classified Upper middle income). Dollar figures are current US dollars; ratio figures are percentages, as labelled. This is external debt in USD, a different measure from the government debt-to-GDP ratios above; do not compare the two directly.

$17.52B
External debt stocks, total (DOD, current US$) (2024)
6.2%
External debt stocks (% of GNI) (2024)
$3.42B
Debt service on external debt, total (TDS, current US$) (2024)
3.0%
Total debt service (% of exports of goods, services and primary income) (2024)
4.1%
Short-term debt (% of total external debt) (2024)
17.2%
Multilateral debt (% of total external debt) (2024)
575.3%
Total reserves (% of total external debt) (2024)
YearTotal external debt% of GNIDebt service
2015$19.14B11.6%$1.89B
2016$23.35B14.1%$1.36B
2017$28.08B15.1%$1.47B
2018$27.80B12.3%$2.01B
2019$27.49B11.8%$2.71B
2020$26.33B14.7%$4.02B
2021$25.36B12.2%$4.12B
2022$22.72B7.9%$4.64B
2023$20.32B7.5%$4.49B
2024$17.52B6.2%$3.42B

Source: World Bank International Debt Statistics (IDS) World Bank IDS, CC BY 4.0. Units: current US dollars (.CD series) and percent (.ZS series); repayment-schedule years beyond 2024 excluded. Methodology

Debt in default (BoC-BoE CRAG)

Stock of Iraq’s government debt in default in 2024, from the Bank of Canada–Bank of England Sovereign Default Database, broken down by creditor class. The external total is $43.29B (current US dollars, excluding domestic arrears, matching the database’s published headline). A further $10.69B of domestic (fiscal) arrears is tracked separately and is not included in that total.

Creditor class (2024)Amount in default
Other official creditors$43.29B
Total external$43.29B

In default (external) for 37 distinct years between 1988 and 2024. Peak external default stock: $111.23B.

Source: BoC-BoE Sovereign Default Database 2025 (Beers, Ndukwe & Berry, Bank of Canada SAN 2025-24) BoC-BoE Sovereign Default Database, Bank of Canada terms (free use with attribution). Units: current US dollars; total excludes domestic arrears. Methodology

Sovereign-debt crisis history

No sovereign-debt crisis is recorded for Iraq in the five chronologies.

Source: Global Macro Database 2026_06 (Müller, Xu, Lehbib & Chen 2025) | Reinhart-Rogoff via HBS BFFS | Laeven & Valencia (2020) Methodology

Restructuring history and creditor losses

Every recorded Iraq sovereign-debt restructuring and the creditor loss (“haircut”) it imposed. The preferred haircut is the present-value measure (Sturzenegger–Zettelmeyer methodology); the face-value column is the headline principal write-down. Amounts restructured are in current US dollars. A crisis link appears where the restructuring year falls inside one of the sovereign-debt crisis episodes above.

YearHaircut (NPV)Face valueDebt restructuredSource
200689.4%81.5%$17.71BCruces and Trebesch (2013)

Source: Cruces & Trebesch (2013), AEJ: Macro; updated in Graf von Luckner, Meyer, Reinhart & Trebesch (2024), IMF Economic Review Kiel Institute / Trebesch sovereign-haircut database, research use with citation. Haircut and face-value figures are percentages; debt restructured is current US dollars. Methodology

Reading this profile

  • Debt levels mix perimeters. The headline and debt-at-start figures fall back through IMF general government, then central government, then WEO gross debt, then (before 1980) the GMD historical series. Central-government readings understate the general-government ratio.
  • Crisis flags end in 2016 (Reinhart-Rogoff) and 2017 (GMD, Laeven-Valencia), while debt runs to 2024. “Years since last crisis” and the absence of recent crises reflect where the sources stop, not a guarantee of calm.
  • Debt level is a weak predictor of default on its own; see the methodology for the debt-intolerance evidence and the full construction.