FinObservatory

Crisis atlas / IDN / 1948–1970

Indonesia, 1948–1970

One crisis episode: distinct crisis years merged across gaps of up to two non-crisis years. Types, source agreement, and macro context are drawn from the union of five primary chronologies.

CurrencySovereign debt

Crisis years in this episode

Every distinct (year, type) event inside the 1948–1970 window, with the chronologies flagging it and the count of agreeing sources. Start-year sources (GMD, JST) mark only the first year, so agreement falls in the continuation years.

  1. 1948
    Currencygmd, rr2 sources
  2. 1949
    Currencyrr1 source
  3. 1952
    Currencygmd, rr2 sources
  4. 1953
    Currencyrr1 source
  5. 1954
    Currencyrr1 source
  6. 1957
    Currencygmd, rr2 sources
  7. 1958
    Currencyrr1 source
  8. 1959
    Currencyrr1 source
  9. 1962
    Currencygmd, rr2 sources
  10. 1963
    Currencyrr1 source
  11. 1964
    Currencyrr1 source
  12. 1966
    Currencygmd, rr2 sources
    Sovereign debtgmd, rr2 sources
  13. 1967
    Currencyrr1 source
    Sovereign debtrr1 source
  14. 1968
    Currencyrr1 source
    Sovereign debtrr1 source
  15. 1969
    Sovereign debtrr1 source
  16. 1970
    Sovereign debtrr1 source

Source: Global Macro Database 2026_06 (Müller, Xu, Lehbib & Chen 2025) | Jordà-Schularick-Taylor Macrohistory R6 | Laeven & Valencia (2020, 2026) | Reinhart-Rogoff via HBS BFFS | ECB/ESRB Financial Crises Database Methodology

Laeven-Valencia banking-crisis detail

Laeven-Valencia reports fiscal cost and output loss for systemic banking crises only. This episode involves currency and sovereign debt crises, for which no comparable cost figures exist in the source chronologies.

Macro context, 1941–1977

Seven years either side of the episode. Each panel has its own scale; the crisis window is shaded. Only indicators with data for Indonesia in this window are shown. Bank credit growth (year over year in total loans) is available for the 18 Jordà-Schularick-Taylor advanced economies.

Inflation (% y/y)
-50005001k1.5k194119481977
Real GDP growth (% y/y)
-40-20020194119481977
Govt debt (% of GDP)
0204060194119481977
Unemployment (%)
012194119481977

Source: Global Macro Database 2026_06 (Müller, Xu, Lehbib & Chen 2025) | Jordà-Schularick-Taylor Macrohistory R6 (credit) Real GDP growth is derived as the year-over-year change in real GDP; current account and government debt are percent of GDP; policy rate is the central-bank rate; bank credit growth is the year-over-year change in JST total loans. Methodology

How each source dates this episode

The chronologies disagree on start years and durations. This table is generated from the event rows, not curated: it lists, per crisis type, which source flags which years inside the window.

Currency
  • Global Macro Database1948, 1952, 1957, 1962, 1966
  • Reinhart-Rogoff1948, 1949, 1952, 1953, 1954, 1957, 1958, 1959, 1962, 1963, 1964, 1966, 1967, 1968
Sovereign debt
  • Global Macro Database1966
  • Reinhart-Rogoff1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970

Source: Global Macro Database 2026_06 (Müller, Xu, Lehbib & Chen 2025) | Jordà-Schularick-Taylor Macrohistory R6 | Laeven & Valencia (2020, 2026) | Reinhart-Rogoff via HBS BFFS | ECB/ESRB Financial Crises Database Methodology

Policy-response case studies (external)

For qualitative accounts of how authorities intervened in systemic crises, see the Yale Program on Financial Stability New Bagehot Project, a library of financial-crisis intervention case studies. It is a separate qualitative resource; no specific case is asserted to match this episode.