Filings / Language
The language of bank risk
What banks say they are afraid of, counted from the primary source: 2,589 annual reports (10-K filings) by 314 US banks, 2016-2026. Each panel shows the share of that filing year's banks whose 10-K mentions the term at least once. No sentiment model, no dictionary licence, no scoring: a mention is a case-insensitive pattern match, and every pattern is published below.
What moved
- AI entered the vocabulary from literally zero: 0.0% of banks' 10-Ks mentioned artificial intelligence or machine learning in 2016 (none of that year's filers did, JPMorgan included), against 87.8% in 2026.
- "Bank failure" went from background vocabulary (15.3% of 2023 filings, most filed just before Silicon Valley Bank failed in March 2023) to 74.9% in the first full post-SVB filing season.
- "Uninsured deposits" began climbing BEFORE the 2023 failures: 16.3% of 2021 filings, 56.4% of 2022 filings, 89.6% by 2024. The page reports the counted timing and does not assign a cause.
- Cyber reached 100.0% of filings in 2024: the first year in the panel in which every bank's 10-K mentions it.
- Pandemic language peaked at 99.5% in 2022 and was still at 87.3% in 2026: risk sections accrete language faster than they shed it.
Quarterly resolution around the 2023 failures
Adding the 10-Qs gives roughly four observations per bank-year, which resolves the turn the annual series blurs. Silicon Valley Bank failed on March 10, 2023: filings lodged in 2023Q1 (mostly 10-Ks, filed in February) against 2023Q2 (10-Qs) straddle it. "Uninsured deposits" went from 62.8% of banks filing in 2023Q1 to 76.1% in 2023Q2; "bank failure" from 14.0% to 75.1%. Composition runs AGAINST these rises: Q2 filings are 10-Qs, far shorter documents than 10-Ks, so the jump happens despite fewer pages in which to say it.
Share of banks’ 10-Ks mentioning each term
By filing year (a 10-K filed in early 2026 covers fiscal 2025). The panel is unbalanced: banks merge, delist and fail out of it, so each year's denominator is that year's filers (189 in 2026).
First year against latest, ordered by movement
| Term | 2016 | 2026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / machine learning | 0.0 | 87.8 | +87.8 pp |
| Uninsured deposits | 14.2 | 91.0 | +76.8 pp |
| Pandemic / COVID | 13.1 | 87.3 | +74.2 pp |
| Crypto / digital assets | 5.2 | 59.3 | +54.1 pp |
| Climate | 41.2 | 87.8 | +46.6 pp |
| Bank failure(s) | 21.5 | 67.7 | +46.2 pp |
| Deposit outflows | 11.1 | 42.9 | +31.8 pp |
| Cyber (any compound) | 76.8 | 100.0 | +23.2 pp |
| Liquidity risk | 71.6 | 89.4 | +17.8 pp |
| Stress test(ing) | 52.6 | 67.7 | +15.1 pp |
| Money laundering | 89.3 | 98.9 | +9.6 pp |
| Held-to-maturity | 81.0 | 89.9 | +8.9 pp |
| Recession | 81.0 | 88.4 | +7.4 pp |
| Unrealized losses | 90.0 | 96.3 | +6.3 pp |
| Inflation | 93.8 | 99.5 | +5.7 pp |
| Interest rate risk | 96.9 | 98.4 | +1.5 pp |
| Commercial real estate | 97.6 | 98.9 | +1.3 pp |
Method, verbatim
- Corpus. Primary 10-K documents fetched from SEC EDGAR (public domain), forms exactly 10-K (amendments excluded), filed 2016-01-01 onward, for the fetched slice of SIC 6021/6022 commercial banks: 314 banks with qualifying filings. This is the corpus's documented coverage boundary, not all US banks; the largest banks are in it because the fetch was banks-first.
- Text. The document’s HTML with script and style blocks, all markup and entities removed, whitespace collapsed. One 10-K per bank per filing year (the larger document is kept when a late filer files twice in one year).
- Counting. A mention is one case-insensitive match of the term’s pattern. The share is the fraction of that year’s banks with at least one mention. Nothing is weighted, scored or model-interpreted.
- Quarterly series. The quarterly cards pool 10-K and 10-Q primary documents, one document per bank per filing quarter (the larger kept), with that quarter’s filers as the denominator. Quarters alternate in composition: Q1 is 10-K-heavy, the rest are 10-Q-only, and 10-Qs are much shorter documents; the page reads rises into 10-Q quarters as happening despite that, and the annual 10-K series above is unaffected by the quarterly file.
- The 2026 year is partial. The corpus was fetched in July 2026; most 10-Ks file January-April, so the year is close to complete, but late filers are missing.
| Term | Pattern (case-insensitive) |
|---|---|
| AI / machine learning | artificial intelligence|machine learning |
| Uninsured deposits | uninsured deposit |
| Bank failure(s) | bank failure |
| Deposit outflows | deposit outflow |
| Pandemic / COVID | pandemic|covid |
| Climate | \bclimate |
| Crypto / digital assets | crypto|digital asset |
| Cyber (any compound) | \bcyber |
| Commercial real estate | commercial real estate |
| Inflation | \binflation |
| Recession | \brecession |
| Liquidity risk | liquidity risk |
| Interest rate risk | interest rate risk |
| Unrealized losses | unrealized loss |
| Held-to-maturity | held[ -]to[ -]maturity |
| Stress test(ing) | stress test |
| Money laundering | money laundering |
Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K filings (US government work, public domain). Structured counterpart: as-filed XBRL · filings methodology.
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