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Filings / Language

The language of bank risk

What banks say they are afraid of, counted from the primary source: 2,589 annual reports (10-K filings) by 314 US banks, 2016-2026. Each panel shows the share of that filing year's banks whose 10-K mentions the term at least once. No sentiment model, no dictionary licence, no scoring: a mention is a case-insensitive pattern match, and every pattern is published below.

What moved

  • AI entered the vocabulary from literally zero: 0.0% of banks' 10-Ks mentioned artificial intelligence or machine learning in 2016 (none of that year's filers did, JPMorgan included), against 87.8% in 2026.
  • "Bank failure" went from background vocabulary (15.3% of 2023 filings, most filed just before Silicon Valley Bank failed in March 2023) to 74.9% in the first full post-SVB filing season.
  • "Uninsured deposits" began climbing BEFORE the 2023 failures: 16.3% of 2021 filings, 56.4% of 2022 filings, 89.6% by 2024. The page reports the counted timing and does not assign a cause.
  • Cyber reached 100.0% of filings in 2024: the first year in the panel in which every bank's 10-K mentions it.
  • Pandemic language peaked at 99.5% in 2022 and was still at 87.3% in 2026: risk sections accrete language faster than they shed it.

Quarterly resolution around the 2023 failures

Adding the 10-Qs gives roughly four observations per bank-year, which resolves the turn the annual series blurs. Silicon Valley Bank failed on March 10, 2023: filings lodged in 2023Q1 (mostly 10-Ks, filed in February) against 2023Q2 (10-Qs) straddle it. "Uninsured deposits" went from 62.8% of banks filing in 2023Q1 to 76.1% in 2023Q2; "bank failure" from 14.0% to 75.1%. Composition runs AGAINST these rises: Q2 filings are 10-Qs, far shorter documents than 10-Ks, so the jump happens despite fewer pages in which to say it.

Uninsured deposits
61.42026Q2
% of banks filing that quarter
quarterly, 2016Q1 to 2026Q2+47.3 pp since 2016Q1
Bank failure(s)
28.62026Q2
% of banks filing that quarter
quarterly, 2016Q1 to 2026Q2+7.2 pp since 2016Q1
Deposit outflows
14.32026Q2
% of banks filing that quarter
quarterly, 2016Q1 to 2026Q2+3.1 pp since 2016Q1
AI / machine learning
38.62026Q2
% of banks filing that quarter
quarterly, 2016Q1 to 2026Q2+38.6 pp since 2016Q1

Share of banks’ 10-Ks mentioning each term

By filing year (a 10-K filed in early 2026 covers fiscal 2025). The panel is unbalanced: banks merge, delist and fail out of it, so each year's denominator is that year's filers (189 in 2026).

AI / machine learning
87.826
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
0.0050.010020162026
Uninsured deposits
91.026
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
0.0050.010020162026
Bank failure(s)
67.726
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
0.0025.050.075.020162026
Deposit outflows
42.926
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
0.0020.040.060.020162026
Pandemic / COVID
87.326
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
0.0050.010020162026
Climate
87.826
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
40.060.080.010020162026
Crypto / digital assets
59.326
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
0.0020.040.060.020162026
Cyber (any compound)
10026
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
70.080.090.010020162026
Commercial real estate
98.926
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
97.098.099.010020162026
Inflation
99.526
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
90.092.595.097.510020162026
Recession
88.426
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
70.075.080.085.090.020162026
Liquidity risk
89.426
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
70.080.090.020162026
Interest rate risk
98.426
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
96.097.098.099.020162026
Unrealized losses
96.326
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
87.590.092.595.097.520162026
Held-to-maturity
89.926
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
80.085.090.095.020162026
Stress test(ing)
67.726
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
50.060.070.080.020162026
Money laundering
98.926
% of banks' 10-Ks, by filing year
85.090.095.010020162026

First year against latest, ordered by movement

Term20162026Change
AI / machine learning0.087.8+87.8 pp
Uninsured deposits14.291.0+76.8 pp
Pandemic / COVID13.187.3+74.2 pp
Crypto / digital assets5.259.3+54.1 pp
Climate41.287.8+46.6 pp
Bank failure(s)21.567.7+46.2 pp
Deposit outflows11.142.9+31.8 pp
Cyber (any compound)76.8100.0+23.2 pp
Liquidity risk71.689.4+17.8 pp
Stress test(ing)52.667.7+15.1 pp
Money laundering89.398.9+9.6 pp
Held-to-maturity81.089.9+8.9 pp
Recession81.088.4+7.4 pp
Unrealized losses90.096.3+6.3 pp
Inflation93.899.5+5.7 pp
Interest rate risk96.998.4+1.5 pp
Commercial real estate97.698.9+1.3 pp

Method, verbatim

  • Corpus. Primary 10-K documents fetched from SEC EDGAR (public domain), forms exactly 10-K (amendments excluded), filed 2016-01-01 onward, for the fetched slice of SIC 6021/6022 commercial banks: 314 banks with qualifying filings. This is the corpus's documented coverage boundary, not all US banks; the largest banks are in it because the fetch was banks-first.
  • Text. The document’s HTML with script and style blocks, all markup and entities removed, whitespace collapsed. One 10-K per bank per filing year (the larger document is kept when a late filer files twice in one year).
  • Counting. A mention is one case-insensitive match of the term’s pattern. The share is the fraction of that year’s banks with at least one mention. Nothing is weighted, scored or model-interpreted.
  • Quarterly series. The quarterly cards pool 10-K and 10-Q primary documents, one document per bank per filing quarter (the larger kept), with that quarter’s filers as the denominator. Quarters alternate in composition: Q1 is 10-K-heavy, the rest are 10-Q-only, and 10-Qs are much shorter documents; the page reads rises into 10-Q quarters as happening despite that, and the annual 10-K series above is unaffected by the quarterly file.
  • The 2026 year is partial. The corpus was fetched in July 2026; most 10-Ks file January-April, so the year is close to complete, but late filers are missing.
TermPattern (case-insensitive)
AI / machine learningartificial intelligence|machine learning
Uninsured depositsuninsured deposit
Bank failure(s)bank failure
Deposit outflowsdeposit outflow
Pandemic / COVIDpandemic|covid
Climate\bclimate
Crypto / digital assetscrypto|digital asset
Cyber (any compound)\bcyber
Commercial real estatecommercial real estate
Inflation\binflation
Recession\brecession
Liquidity riskliquidity risk
Interest rate riskinterest rate risk
Unrealized lossesunrealized loss
Held-to-maturityheld[ -]to[ -]maturity
Stress test(ing)stress test
Money launderingmoney laundering

Source: SEC EDGAR 10-K filings (US government work, public domain). Structured counterpart: as-filed XBRL · filings methodology.

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